Home » 10/12/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Sha Tin, Hong Kong International Raceday

10/12/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Sha Tin, Hong Kong International Raceday

A bumper ten race card has been set down for Sha Tin on Sunday for International Day.

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Race 1. Silent Witness Handicap (Class 4) 1200m

Back Me

6 Gorgeous Win (Bet Now: 
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) is the way I am leaning in the opener. Danny Shum trained gelding that resumed over this track/distance three weeks ago where he attempted to lead throughout and tried his guts out but just couldn’t quite finish the job when third. He gets Purton back aboard, the tick over trial last week was strong and maps ideally, whether it be leading or near the front.

Danger

8 Patch Of Time (Bet Now: 
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) is an improver for Jimmy Ting. This guy debuted three weeks back at the track/distance where he lobbed into a beaut spot behind the speed and was going to angle clear but he couldn’t quite get the run and checked off heels, losing all momentum, but picked up and wasn’t too bad when fourth. With clear air this time around, he’s dangerous.

Long Shot

13 Lucky Planet (Bet Now: 
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) is knocking on the door to win. His last couple of runs have come at Happy Valley where each time he came from off the speed and has found the line pretty well. If he can use the inside gate to advantage, I think he’s quite dangerous against this lot. Definite winning chance.

Race 2. Beauty Generation Handicap (Class 4) 1400m

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9 Winning Data (Bet Now: 
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) for me. Son of Capitalist that comes here five weeks between runs since winning at this track/distance where he got into the A1 spot behind the speed but was badly held up. Thankfully, the gaps appeared, he got the split and got better as the race went on for a dominant win. Tick over trial was a good piece of work, maps ideally and the depth here isn’t overly deep.

Danger

7 Circuit Nine (Bet Now: 
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) has a tricky gate to overcome but I am convinced he is racing well and has come back in good order. Both runs this time in have come at this track/distance, the latest being three weeks ago when back near last in the run and making up solid headway late when third to Lost Child. If he can get three/four wide cover, a drag into the race, he can launch over the top.

Long Shot

6 Romantic Hero (Bet Now: 
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) is capable. He debuted over 1200m here three weeks back where he was a bit keen in the run and I reckon that just took away from his finale behind Star Club. Thought he moved well behind Gorgeous Win in a trial last week so you’ll know come jump time here how strong form is.

Race 3. Maurice Handicap (Class 3) 1400m

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5 Amazing Victory (Bet Now: 
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) on top. Chris So trained gelding that ran over this track/distance four weeks ago where he was wide with cover and seemingly got a decent drag into the race but he just took forever to wind up, only getting warm late in the piece when fourth. If he can use the gate and settle closer, he’ll still be effective late and he strikes a winnable race.

Danger

10 Capital Delight (Bet Now: 
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) tends to do his best racing at Happy Valley vs Sha Tin but he is flying. Over three weeks between runs since racing at The Valley where got back from the inside and spotted those in front a tidy start but he picked up and was pretty good in the run to the line behind when third. Tricky gate, but gets Moreira and is racing like 1400m suits.

Long Shot

6 Chiu Chow Spirit (Bet Now: 
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) is a definite winning chance. Three weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance where he got back to near last in the run from the wide gate and while he was never really a winning threat, I thought he found the line with real purpose late in the piece when third. If he gets a drag into the race, he can launch over the top.

Race 4. Hong Kong Vase 2400m

Back Me

There is good value I think around for talented filly 9 Warm Heart (Bet Now: 
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). She has been around the world this year, running in Ireland, England, France and then last start ran at Santa Anita in the US when a narrow second in a Breeders Cup race behind a world class mare, Inspiral. She was eight weeks between runs there and back in trip. She gets to 2400m, she’s got the weight pull and has shown a liking for firm decks. Keen on her running well.

Danger

3 Zeffiro (Bet Now: 
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) commands respect. Japanese raider that comes here off the back of a win at Group ll level over 2500m when giving them a start and a beating, aided by a peach from Moreira. The run prior behind Rousham Park was strong and I am keen on that horse later in the meeting so I think this guy has to be respected.

Long Shot

4 Five G Patch (Bet Now: 
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) is one that can pinch a first four spot at odds. He ran three weeks back in the Jockey Club Cup where he just lacked the change up speed to be a threat, being one paced in the run to the line. He has run well at the track/distance previously and has been set for the race. Doubt he wins, but is one for exotics.

Race 5. Hong Kong Sprint 1200m

Back Me

To me, it’s Lucky Sweynesse or completely different form. I think he has the Hong Kong horses covered, but gee he looks short because the Jockey Club Sprint win was just a win. The horse that seems a big price is the Japanese sprinter 3 Mad Cool (Bet Now: 
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). Beaten a lip in the Sprinters Stakes, a form race which often stands up in this race. She is a get back/run on type, but will be strong late and with good speed on the cards, it would seem, I think she only runs well.

Danger

1 Lucky Sweynesse (Bet Now: 
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) is the best sprinter Hong Kong has to offer and in terms of the locals, he has them covered. He just got there in the Jockey Club Sprint, even though he got a 12/10 from Purton, only wearing them down late in the piece. The big tick is that he’ll do no work from the inside gate and this isn’t an overly deep edition.

Long Shot

6 Aesop’s Fables (Bet Now: 
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) is a knockout hope. He has the Aidan O’Brien polish and commands respect given he placed his past two in strong sprint races, firstly at Longchamp behind Highfield Princess before a game third in the Breeders Cup Turf Sprint after sitting wide throughout. He hasn’t won in a while but is racing very well and can win without shocking.

Race 6. Jim And Tonic Handicap (Class 3) 1800m

Back Me

This race may well produced the Hong Kong Derby winner for next year. 1 Awesome Fluke (Bet Now: 
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) looks like he has adapted to Hong Kong perfectly. He was Awesome John in Australia, where he won the WA Derby. Resumed last Saturday over 1400m here and he was one of the real eye catchers of the meeting when third after getting back. Gets Moreira replacing Alfred Chan, fitter, up to 1800m…really likeable.

Danger

2 Ensued (Bet Now: 
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) is another that is putting his hand up for the Derby. 2/2 in Hong Kong, the latest win being over 2000m here three weeks ago where he built into the race with purpose and was very good in winning after overcoming a wide barrier. Thought his trial last week behind Beauty Eternal was quite good and back 200m in trip should be no issue.

Long Shot

8 Romantic Charm (Bet Now: 
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) is an improver at odds. He ran on Geelong Cup Day and was okay on a shifty track. He returned to Hong Kong and raced over the mile here two weeks back where he did a bit of early work from the sticky gate and only just got the stitch late in the piece. He will improve off the run and up in trip, J Mac sticking, he’s dangerous.

Race 7. Hong Kong Mile 1600m

Back Me

I just don’t see how they beat 1 Golden Sixty (Bet Now: 
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). He’s eight years old and is closer to the end than the beginning, but his trial work to get ready for this race tells me he’s flying and is going as well as he was when he ended last prep. He’s the best miler in Hong Kong, one of the best seen over there, and has been clearly set for this race. Beauty Eternal, Beauty Joy, California Spangle…they look suspect against the champ. The only query is the gate but should get three wide cover and finish over the top.

Danger

4 Serifos (Bet Now: 
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) looks like he has been set for the race. Japanese raider that resumed in the Mile Championship where he was there to win but being first up, condition just gave way and he tired late to finish eighth. He’ll take good improvement from that outing and he does have runs on the board from last year to say he is a worthy threat, if any.

Long Shot

11 Encountered (Bet Now: 
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) has a fab mile record and is a must for exotics despite drawing wide. He won over 1800m here at Group lll level back on November 5 where he lobbed into a beaut spot behind the speed before finishing best after angling into clear air. Back to the mile is ideal…not sure he’s good enough to win but can finish top four.

Race 8. Hong Kong Cup 2000m

Back Me

The Cox Plate form was okay at Flemington but it didn’t stand up at all, and the two runs Romantic Warrior had were absolutely brutal. He is back home and has eyes for this race, and will get J Mac…but do I want to take odds on? No. The Japanese interest me and IMO, 4 Rousham Park (Bet Now: 
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) is the better horse than Prognosis. Hakodate Kinen win was arrogant and confirmed that with a strong win at Nakayama where he gave them a start and a beating. He’ll eat up 2000m at this level and he should be second favourite, a close up second favourite.

Danger

3 Prognosis (Bet Now: 
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) is a top chance. He last raced on October 29 at Tokyo in the Tenno Sho (Autumn) when a gutsy second to the best horse in the world, Equinox. He did run second earlier this year at this track/distance to Romantic Warrior but IMO, he has gone one since, whereas Romantic Warrior, perhaps, is on the decline after a brutal prep down under. Commands respect.

Long Shot

1 Luxembourg (Bet Now: 
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) is a high class animal for Aidan O’Brien that can give this a shake. He has been kept on the fresh side, having not raced since the Irish Champion Stakes where he ran a gutsy second to classy stablemate Auguste Rodin. Stable have said this is the best batch of horses they have sent to the meeting and that this is one of their top chances.

Race 9. Lord Kanaloa Handicap (Class 3) 1200m

Back Me

1 Galaxy Patch (Bet Now: 
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) is destined for better races than this and IMO could be Stakes class in the future. Three weeks between runs since a dominant track/distance win where he gave them a beating, getting better as the race went on for a sharp victory. Gets right up in the weights now, but maps ideally, Teetan sticks and I think on ability, he’s just better than them.

Danger

4 The Heir (Bet Now: 
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) is a key threat. He made his Hong Kong debut at the track/distance three weeks ago where he ran second to Galaxy Patch, getting a mile out of his ground and did make up solid headway but on the line, was safely held. Not sure he turns the tables, but he has more upside and does get a 3kg weight swing, so he has enough in his corner to run a positive race.

Long Shot

10 Jolly Companion (Bet Now: 
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) is an improver at odds. He made his Hong Kong debut three weeks back at this track/distance where he was a bit one paced when the sprint went on but he picked up late and was solid to/through the line behind Mugen. Might want 1400m, but maps ideally, he has good upside and should be strong at the end.

Race 10. Highland Reel Handicap (Class 2) 1400m

Back Me

10 Alarcity (Bet Now: 
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) is an enigma but he looks a fab each way gamble in the get out. He ran two weeks ago over this track/distance where he got back off the speed and kept chasing in a solid effort behind Drombeg Banner, beaten three lengths. He doesn’t have the best of racing patterns but if the inside gate is used to advantage, he’s certainly dangerous.

Danger

7 Helios Express (Bet Now: 
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) has done little wrong in his five start career for John Size. Won over 1200m here three weeks ago when resuming and lobbing into a beaut spot, finishing best to get the job done. The gate makes things tricky but if he is somehow able to get into a decent spot with cover, he’s good enough to win again.

Long Shot

3 The Golden Scenery (Bet Now: 
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) is a beauty for Tony Cruz and commands respect. He got a 12/10 from J Mac to win over the mile here two weeks back, using gate one to advantage before being able to slice clear and finishing best. Back to 1400m should be fine, J Mac sticks and he’s one of the definite winning chances.

BEST BET: Race Seven Number 1 Golden Sixty

NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 1 Galaxy Patch

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 3 Mad Cool

 

Quaddie (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg Three: 1

Leg Four: 3, 7, 8, 9, 10

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