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Two teams that have turned their seasons around meet on Sunday evening when the Denver Broncos welcome the Minnesota Vikings to the Mile High City. The Broncos have won three straight, two of which against the Chiefs and Bills, and are the 2.5-point favorites.
NFL Week 11 Vikings vs. Broncos odds preview
It’s not too advantageous to delve into early-season analytics, stats, and trends for this encounter, such is the jaw-dropping resurgence and altogether different feel of the Broncos and Vikings in the last month or so.
The Vikings sail into Denver on a league-high five-game winning streak, thanks in large part, at least since his arrival from Arizona, to the stellar play of Josh Dobbs. The journeyman’s performance level since landing in Minnesota on Oct. 31 has been nothing short of remarkable.
Dobbs led the Vikings offense against the Falcons and Saints, scoring 31 and 27 points, respectively. More good news could be coming, as Justin Jefferson might return. Expect the confident Vikings to be further galvanized if their all-star receiver suits up.
That said, the Vikings face a formidable challenge against an altogether different Broncos squad. Considering their palpable ineptitude through the opening five weeks, the Broncos’ defensive turnaround is the most impressive facet of Denver’s renaissance. Personnel changes, scheme adjustments, and a return to full fitness have contributed to their impressive redemption.
The Broncos created 10 turnovers in their previous four games, including four against the turnover-prone Bills. Denver has allowed just 16 points per game, including only 28 total in two encounters versus the defending Super Bowl champions.
Taking all that into consideration, the turnover factor, along with Denver’s home-field advantage, should prove decisive. The Vikings offense has coughed up 17 turnovers, including a league-high 12 fumbles. While Dobbs has been mistake-free in his first two appearances for Minnesota, he threw five interceptions and lost a league-high 11 fumbles during his time at Arizona.
Look for the Broncos to eke out a victory and halt the Vikings’ winning streak.
NFL Week 11 Vikings vs. Broncos best bet: Josh Dobbs over 30.5 rushing yards (-120 at DraftKings)
Dobbs will have to make adjustments on the fly against a much-improved Denver defense, especially in the Empower Field at Mile High. It’s a good thing he’s an excellent pass-rush evader and runner. Since arriving in Minnesota, Dobbs rushed for 66 yards against Atlanta and 44 versus the Saints.
Beforehand, he broke the 30.5-yard threshold in five of eight contests. He’ll need to be at his inventive best on Sunday night, which shouldn’t be an issue for a quarterback playing with profound confidence and self-assurance.
NFL Week 11 Vikings vs. Broncos best bet: Javonte Williams over 64.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Like his team, Javonte Williams is a man reborn. Week 7 was the first time all season Williams ran for 65 yards or more, non-coincidentally coinciding with the start of the Broncos’ winning streak.
Williams rushed for 82 yards against the Packers in Week 7, 85 versus the Chiefs in Week 8, and 79 at Buffalo in Week 10. The Broncos possessed the ball for a staggering 37:21 against the Bills in last week’s victory, thanks primarily to Williams’ work.
Denver will try to replicate that run-first script to control the ball as much as they did in Buffalo. In addition, rain is forecasted in Denver, which should increase the number of carries for Williams.
And finally, the Vikings have been the NFL’s best in recent weeks at keeping the opposing quarterback’s ratings low, again increasing the likelihood of Williams carrying the bulk of the workload.
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